United States: Larry Elder at the head of California
On September 14, voters in the state will vote on the removal of Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom and the choice of a possible successor.
The future of Governor Gavin Newsom as head of the Golden State has never been so uncertain. Two weeks away from a referendum where Californian voters will have to confirm or dismiss the elected Democrat, the gap in the polls is narrowing between pro and anti-Newsom. According to the average calculated by the site FiveThirtyEight , 48.8% of voters would reject the impeachment of the governor, while 47.6% would vote in favor of his removal.
A climate skeptic in ambush
A very small gap, less linked to the unpopularity of Newsom than to the hypermobilization of the conservative camp deeply hostile to the Democrat, to whom they blame his elitism , and a tyrannical management of the Covid-19 epidemic. According to the CBS channel , 72% of Republicans say they are very motivated to vote, against 61% of Democrats. For analysts, the apathy of the progressive camp can be explained in part by the fact that the Latin and African-American electorates, mostly Democrats, are distracted by the rebound of Covid-19, which affects these communities disproportionately.
The future of Governor Gavin Newsom as head of the Golden State has never been so uncertain. Two weeks away from a referendum where Californian voters will have to confirm or dismiss the elected Democrat, the gap in the polls is narrowing between pro and anti-Newsom. According to the average calculated by the site FiveThirtyEight , 48.8% of voters would reject the impeachment of the governor, while 47.6% would vote in favor of his removal.
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If he was dismissed, Newsom would give way to the candidate for his replacement who obtained the most votes: it is the Trumpist radio host Larry Elder who is leading in the polls, far ahead of the candidate of the Republican establishment John Cox. The election of this climate skeptic, opposed to the concept of minimum wage and to gun control, would be a real earthquake for California, a Democratic stronghold which had voted 62% Gavin Newsom three years ago.
